Indian EV market to grow at a CAGR of 49% between 2021-2030: IESA report

• IESA released it’s 3rd annual “2021 India Electric Vehicle and Component Market Overview  Report 2021-2030”

• The report covers the present market trend and forecast of electric vehicles (EV), EV battery demand by various EV segments in terms of revenue (INR Crore) and GWh potential, and the status of domestic production of EV components such as motors, controllers, power electronics, etc.
• The report shares that the Indian EV ecosystem is still dominated by lead-acid batteries,  which accounted for 81% of the market in 2021
• India’s EV market poised to cross annual sales of 17 million by 2030
  

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India Energy Storage Alliance (IESA), India’s leading industry alliance on Energy Storage,  e-Mobility, and Green Hydrogen released its 3rd annual edition of the “2021 India Electric Vehicle and  Component Market Overview Report 2021-2030”.

In terms of revenue (INR Crore) and GWh potential,  the research examines the current market trend and prediction for electric vehicles (EV), as well as the need for EV batteries by various EV segments.

The report includes a thorough chapter on the analysis of EV policies at the central and state levels. It also includes a section on the growth of the EV  ancillary market in India. This chapter covers important components like battery management systems, motors, controllers, and power electronics, among others, and it provides a competitive analysis of the market’s major players and the supply chain for important components.

According to the survey, the EV industry in India experienced one of the quickest recoveries from the pandemic-induced slowdown in 2020. The e-2Ws (50 percent market share), followed by the low-speed e-3Ws, accounted for most of the 4,67,000+ annual EV sales in India in 2021; however, other segments also showed a notable increase over the year.

The research report routes three different market projection scenarios for the ensuing decade. According to the report’s Business as  Usual (BAU) scenario, the Indian EV market would expand at a CAGR of 49% between 2021 and 2030  and is predicted to reach annual sales of 17 million units by that time, with almost 15 million of those projected to be electric two-wheelers.

Between 2021 and 2030, the yearly battery demand is anticipated to increase at a CAGR of 41%, reaching 142 GWh. The market is 6.5 GWh, just like in  2021.

According to the report, the Indian EV market is anticipated to grow quickly after 2024–2025 as the initial costs of EVs are predicted to be comparable to those of ICE vehicles because of falling battery prices, advancements in EV technology, domestic production, and economies of scale. Lead-acid batteries continued to dominate the Indian EV ecosystem in 2021, accounting for 81% of the market;  this is due to the high demand for e-rickshaws.

The market share of lithium-ion batteries has been steadily growing, and in 2021, for the first time, the demand for these batteries exceeded the 1 GWh threshold. Additionally, among lithium-ion chemistries, Lithium Iron Phosphate (LFP) is chosen option for e-3Ws and e-4Ws whereas Nickel Manganese Cobalt (NMC) is the preferred option for e 2W and e-buses.

The FAME II program, which has been extended to 2024, was launched by the government to look into ways to make EVs cheaper and attractive to the end-users. By December 2021, the scheme

has benefited more than 1.8 million automobiles. FAME Incentives for e-2Ws have also been raised from INR 10,000/kWh to INR 15,000/kWh in a recent policy revision.

Many states have announced their EV policies that are unique to each state. Additionally, the Central Government issued directives and policies geared toward removing obstacles and promoting progress. Along with securing supply through the introduction of numerous PLI programs for advanced chemistry cell (ACC) battery storage, automobiles and auto components, and semiconductors, the government has also been working to increase demand. Local manufacturers are also being protected through the imposition of basic customs duty on imports by the  Phased Manufacturing Programme for EVs.

According to the report, the main factors propelling the EV market’s expansion in the current decade will be

• (1) rising consumer awareness;
• (2) rising fuel prices;
• (3) commitments from fleet aggregators and corporations;
• (4) entry of new players;
• (5) advancements in EV technology;
• (6) continued subsidy support from both the Central and State governments; and
• (7) Anticipated implementation of strict emission standards (CAFÉ norms from 2022).

About India Energy Storage Alliance (IESA) 

IESA is a leading industry alliance focused on the development of advanced energy storage, green hydrogen, and e-mobility technologies in India. Founded in 2012, by Customized Energy Solutions  (CES), IESA’s vision is to make India a global hub for R&D, manufacturing, and adoption of advanced energy storage, e-mobility, and green hydrogen technologies.

The alliance has been at the forefront of efforts seminal in shaping an enabling policy framework for the adoption of energy storage, electric mobility, green hydrogen, and emerging clean technologies in India.